Climate change is warming Welsh streams and rivers, affecting the number and variety of some of their smallest animals, a major Cardiff University study has found.
Rivers and streams are key ecosystems for many aquatic species and form important links with surrounding habitats, yet little emphasis has been given so far to the ecological effects of climate change on these running-waters.
Now a twenty-five year study at Llyn Brianne in central Wales, led by Professor Steve Ormerod and Dr Isabelle Durance of the Cardiff School of Biosciences, has examined for the first time the effects of climate change on stream species.
The study looked at the effects of climate change on stream macroinvertebrates – animals that can be seen with the naked eye such as crustaceans, snails and larval insects including stoneflies or mayflies.
Professor Ormerod, said: “Streams and rivers are likely to be highly sensitive to climate and yet long-term evidence of effects is scarce globally. Our study shows a clear climate-change signal over the last 25 years, with temperatures warming faster than could be explained by background variations. An ecological response to warming has also been clear.”
The study predicts that at the present rate the springtime abundance of macroinvertebrates in streams could decline by as much as 21 per cent for every 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature.
Dr Durance added “The numbers of species in the streams we examined might also fall by 12-25 per cent if trends continue as expected over the next 50 years”.
Carbon dioxide consumed before it sinks in deep ocean may re-enter atmosphere as greenhouse gas
Mike Tidwell comments -This article and many others supoort the idea that the deep ocean is a sink for atmospheric carbon as was once hoped. Actually, carbon dioxide levels have been much higher in the deep past, in some instances as much 4,000 ppmv versus the current level of 385 ppmv. There is no easy way out–the natural removal of CO2 from the atmosphere is on the order of hundreds of years, and because of negative feedbacks in the system, possibly much longer.
A major study sheds new light on the role of carbon dioxide once it’s transported to the oceans’ depths. The research indicates that instead of sinking, carbon dioxide is often consumed by animals and bacteria and recycled in the “twilight zone,” a dimly lit area 100 to 1,000 meters below the surface. Because the carbon often never reaches the deep ocean, where it can be stored and prevented from re-entering the atmosphere as a green-house gas, the oceans may have little impact on changes in the atmosphere or climate.
The research is the result of two international expeditions to the Pacific Ocean, and is published in the April 27, 2007, issue of Science.
“These results are particularly important to our efforts today to improve the predictive capacity of numerical models that relate ocean carbon to global climate change on different time scales,” said Don Rice, director of NSF’s chemical oceanography program.
It also adds a new wrinkle to proposals to mitigate climate change by fertilizing the oceans with iron–to promote blooms of photosynthetic marine plants and transfer more carbon dioxide from the air to the deep ocean.
“The twilight zone is a critical link between the surface and the deep ocean,” said Ken Buesseler, a biogeochemist at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and lead author of the new study, which is co-authored by 17 other scientists. “We’re interested in what happens in the twilight zone, what sinks into it and what actually sinks out of it. Unless the carbon goes all the way down into the deep ocean and is stored there, the oceans will have little impact on climate change.”
Buesseler was the leader of a project funded by the National Science Foundation (NSF) called VERTIGO (Vertical Transport In the Global Ocean).
The twilight zone acts as a gate that allows more sinking particles through in some regions and fewer in others, complicating scientists’ ability to predict the ocean’s role in offsetting the impacts of greenhouse gases.
Using new technology, the researchers found that only 20 percent of the total carbon in the ocean surface made it through the twilight zone off Hawaii, while 50 percent did in the northwest Pacific near Japan.
These sinking particles, often called “marine snow,” supply food to organisms deeper down, including bacteria that decompose the particles. In the process, carbon is converted back into dissolved organic and inorganic forms that are re-circulated and reused in the twilight zone and that can make their way to the surface and back into the atmosphere.
The problem, say scientists, is that particles sink slowly, perhaps 10 to a few hundred meters per day, but they are swept sideways by ocean currents traveling many thousands of meters per day. To collect sinking particles, oceanographers use cones or tubes that hang beneath buoys or float up from sea floor. That, Buesseler said, “is like putting out a rain gauge in a hurricane.”
While many studies have investigated the surface of the ocean, little research has been conducted on the carbon cycle below. The VERTIGO team examined a variety of processes to open a new window into the difficult-to-explore twilight zone. They successfully used a wide array of new tools, including an experimental device that overcame a longstanding problem of how to collect marine snow falling into the twilight zone.
Other scientists involved in VERTIGO are David Karl of the University of Hawaii; Makio Honda of the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology; Deborah Steinberg of the Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences; Mary Silver of the University of California at Santa Cruz; David Siegel of the University of California at Santa Barbara; James Bishop of the University of California at Berkeley; Thomas Trull of the University of Tasmania, Australia; Philip Boyd of the University of Dunedin, New Zealand; and Frank Dehairs of Free University of Brussels, Belgium.
More than 40 biologists, chemists, physical oceanographers, and engineers from 14 institutions and seven countries participated in the two VERTIGO oceanographic research cruises in 2004 and 2005 to investigate how marine plants die and sink, or are eaten by animals and converted into sinking fecal pellets.